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Weekly Market Updates

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In the Deadzone

Equity markets dropped toward the end of last week into option expiration Friday as we sit in the “deadzone” of the 3rd quarter. Overnight, the S&P 500 futures are down about 1.5% on China property developer Evergrande worries. The S&P 500 index fell 0.6% last week to lower its YTD…

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Negatives and Positives

Equity markets dropped last week with the S&P 500 down 1.7%.  The market has held up with normal deadzone choppy waters in play. The S&P 500 is up 33.5% from a year ago, and momentum has held firm over the past three- and six-months, up 21% and 29% annualized, respectively….

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September and the Deadzone

Welcome to the Oak Harvest Market Update and Recap for 9/7/2021! U.S. equity futures are flat after the S&P 500 rose last week despite some disappointing jobs data.  For the week, the S&P500 rose another 0.6% to stretch its year-to-date gain to 20.7%. 10-year yields up 4 bps to 1.36%…

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Powell Speaks; Markets Remain Calm

Welcome to the Oak Harvest Market Update and Recap for 8/30/2021! First of all, our thoughts and prayers go out to our family, friends, and neighbors in Louisiana who are feeling the brunt of a top 5 hurricane on record to hit North America, with sustained winds of over 150mph……

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Positive Data; Keeping Emotions in Check

Welcome to the Oak Harvest Market update and recap for 8/23/2021! Domestic equity markets slipped during option expiration last week amid concerns over the Delta variant and mixed economic data. Intra-week the S&P 500 lost just under -3% into the Thursday morning pre-market session. Our view continues to be that…

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Market Update: Is it the Top? (Probably Not)

Global equities were mostly stronger last week, with Europe led by Germany/DAX (+1.4%) and France/FTSE (+1.3%) seeing the biggest gain.  Here in the USA, with the S&P500 making another marginal new all-time high, the NASDAQ, technology heavy, (-0.1%) lagged. Financials (+1.3%) and consumer discretionary (+1.1%) led the way higher, while…

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Seasonal Swoon? Doubtful. A Dip? Always Possible.

The S&P 500 rose +0.9% last week to take its 2021 return above 18% amid a solid earnings season and some negative calls for seasonal swoons. This morning oil prices have dropped below $66 on 1) hedge fund mispositioning, 2) global growth concerns due to the Delta variant, and 3)…

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Six Months Up! To Fear or Not to Fear?

While dropping Friday and last week (-.4%), the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones 30 are heading into the August within 1% of their latest record high closes set last Monday. The tech heavy Nasdaq, which also fell Friday (on Amazons slower guidance) and last week, also remained just under 1% from last…

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Bears Gored Again by Breadth and Technology

Equity markets fell for the first two days of the week amid spreading virus variants and concerns about the future path of global growth. The brief decline brought the bear calls out for a -10-20% forthcoming decline. Never mind that these strategists have been wrongly calling for this kind of…

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Summertime: Bond Rallies are Bad

U.S. equity futures are down this morning preopening, from -0.5/-.75% for the NASDAQ, -1.25% for the S&P500, -1.5% for the Dow, and -2% for the small cap Russell 2000. Concerns about U.S. and global economic growth are being stoked by rising COVID-19 cases due to the Delta variant. As one…

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The Bull Market Continues

While global equities were mixed last week, the Technology heavy NASDAQ (+0.4%) and the S&P500 (+0.4%) rose to new all-time highs.  Japan/NIKKEI (-2.9%) and France/CAC40 (-0.4%) were global laggards. Overall, for the week, growth stocks outperformed value as the 10-year Treasury fell 6 bps, with the FAANGs returning 1.73% compared…

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More All-Time Highs for the 4th of July

The S&P 500 rose 8.2% in Q2 and is up about 14.4% for the first half of 2021.  Tech led the second quarter after a sluggish Q1. The tech heavy Nasdaq jumped 9.5% in the second quarter and sits up about 12.5% year to date.  The more value biased Dow…

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