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Weekly Market Updates
Bonds in Red; Economy Gaining
Market Update: Equities pullback, but economic recovery should gain speed. Global equities were down across the board last week with the NASDAQ (-4.9%) leading the way. Most sectors were in the red with the biggest losses in health care (-8.2%) and tech (-8.1%). Gains in banks (+1.5%) and consumer discretionary…
Cyclical Inflation; Real Growth Surges
Market Update: U.S. economic figures surge with real growth. Inflation is cyclical. The S&P 500 futures are pointing 0.7% lower after the index fell a similar amount last week on concern about higher interest rates with almost all TV “pundits” discussing inflation concerns. After jumping 13 bps last week, the…
Bond Market Moves: Entirely “Precedented”
Market Update: Precedented. The S&P 500 rose 4.6% to new highs in its largest weekly advance since November amid positive earnings results, easing Covid constraints, falling virus caseloads, improved economic data and the potential for much more fiscal stimulus. Long-term interest rates continue to rise. The 10-year rate rose last…
David vs Big-Hedge-Fund Yields Short-Covering Rally
2021-02-01 Market Update, by Chris Perras. Sideshow Bob – GME, BB, BBBY, AMC Equity markets were down last week, starting strong but reversing Wednesday on increased volatility caused by hedge fund delivering due to raids on their short positions including GME (GameStop), AMC (AMC Entertainment), BBBY (Bed Bath), and BB…
Of Chicken Little, Bubbles and Crashes
2021-01-25 Market Update. Equity markets were mixed last week, starting strong but wobbling into the weekend. Concerns about COVID-related lockdowns and the effectiveness of vaccines against new strains of the virus slowed overall gains. The S&P 500 rose 1.9%, led by telecom and technology, while banks slumped. The Nasdaq led…
Where is the “Double-Dip Recession”?
2021-01-18 Market Update. U.S. markets are closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday. The S&P 500 fell 1.5% last week on weaker economic data (initial jobless claims by +181,00 incrementally last week and retail sales missed forecasts) and equity hedging in front of this week’s Inauguration Day on…
Wave? No, Blue Ripple
2021-01-11 Market Update. In a choppy week highlighted by stronger economic data and additional political turmoil in Washington DC, the S&P500 closed at a new all-time high of 3825. Equity markets rose this week alongside surprise Democrat victories in the Georgia Senate runoff votes. The S&P 500 rose 1.8%, led…
Happy New ATH
2020-01-04 Market Update. In another abbreviated holiday week, the S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high of 3756. Most financial news outlets are now parroting the same two negatively tilted taglines: 1) the global stock indexes are overbought, 2) the uncertainty of the Georgia Senate elections. Bull market First,…
Not Overbought: But Same Song
Market Update, 2020-12-28: Not overbought. In last week’s abbreviated holiday week, the S&P 500 closed essentially flat. President Trump weighed in on the second Stimulus Bill, concerned about too-small direct payments to Americans and far too much wasteful spending. Unhelpful news outlets say overbought The vast majority of financial news…
Don’t Fret
2020-01-14 Market Update. The S&P 500 was modestly down last week. Lingering concerns over Brexit, (globally pretty insignificant) and the fate of further U.S. fiscal stimulus caused the SP500 to slip 1%. Tech and banks fell the most as yields rallied early in the week. The first round of COVID vaccines…
